Various parts of the country are reeling under a severe drought. Various ministries of the Government of India have initiated relief
measures in drought prone areas. But when is a drought declared in any
part of the country? What are the different parameters that are taken
into account?
source: Indian Express
What is Drought?
There
is no universally accepted standard definition of drought because of
its varying characteristics and impacts across different regions.
According to the ‘Drought Management Manual’
released by the Ministry of Agriculture, drought is a recurrent feature
of climate and occurs in all climatic regimes. Conditions of drought
appear when the rainfall is deficient in comparison to the statistical
multi-year average for a region, over an extended period of a season or
year, or even more.
Unlike other natural disasters, drought is different in the sense that
- It is difficult to determine the beginning and end of the event
- Duration may range from months to years
- No single indicator or index can identify precisely the onset and severity and its potential impacts
- Multiple indicators are usually more effective
- Spatial extent is usually much greater than that for other natural hazards
- Impacts are generally non-structural and difficult to quantify
- Impacts are cumulative and the effects magnify when events continue from one season to the next
Impacts of Drought
There
are many adverse direct and indirect impacts of drought. The impacts
could be broadly categorized into Economic, Environmental & Social.
Economic: Economic
impacts of drought include production losses in agriculture and other
related sectors. It causes loss of income resulting in reduction of
purchasing power especially among those dependent on agriculture and
living in the rural areas. It also has a multiplier effect on other
sectors dependent on agriculture for raw material.
Environmental: Decreased
water levels in reservoirs, canals, ponds are the primary environmental
impacts. This will lead to decreased availability of drinking water and
water for other needs. It will also cause loss of forest cover etc.
Social: Migration
of population is the top most social impact resulting out of lack of
income. Decrease of income also leads to people withdrawing children
from schools, postponement of marriages, sale of assets etc. It will
also lead to inadequate food leading to malnutrition and other health
hazards.
When is a drought declared?
The
four indicators viz., rainfall deficiency, the extent of area sown,
normalized difference vegetation index and moisture adequacy index are
usually applied in combination for drought declaration. The information
on these indicators is available at the level of Taluka / Tehsil /
Block. Drought may be declared by the State Government at these levels.
Rainfall Deficiency: Rainfall
is the most important indicator of drought. A departure in rainfall
from its long-term averages is taken as the basis for drought
declaration. The departure could be either measured for specific months
or an entire season. Rainfall data are easily available and simple to
apply. The rainfall data can be applied in two ways
- The State Government could consider declaring a drought if the total rainfall received during the months of June and July is less than 50% of the average rainfall for these two months and there is an adverse impact on vegetation and soil moisture
- The State Government could consider declaring a drought if the total rainfall for the entire duration of the rainy season of the state, from June to September (the south-west monsoon) and/or from December to March (north-east monsoon), is less than 75% of the average rainfall for the season and there is an adverse impact on vegetation and soil moisture
Area under Sowing: Sowing
is another important indicator of the spread and severity of drought.
Drought conditions could be said to exist if along with the other
indicators, the total area sown by the end of July/August is less than
50% of the total cultivable area. In case of Rabi crops, the declaration
of drought could be linked to the area of sowing being less than 50% of
the total cultivable area by the end of November/December along with
the other indicators.
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI): The
National Agricultural Drought Assessment and Monitoring System
(NADAMS), instituted by the National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC),
issues a bi-weekly drought bulletin and monthly reports on detailed crop
and seasonal condition during the kharif season. These present the
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference
Wetness Index (NDWI). These reports provide quantitative information on
sowings, surface water spread and District / Tehsil / Taluk /Block level
crop condition assessment along with spatial variation in terms of
maps. At present, 12 agriculturally important and drought-vulnerable
States of Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat, Haryana, Karnataka,
Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana
and Uttar Pradesh are covered through these reports.
Moisture Adequacy Index (MAI): Moisture
Adequacy Index (MAI) is based on a calculation of weekly water balance,
is equal to the ratio (expressed as a percentage) of Actual Evapo
Transpiration (AET) to the Potential Evapo Transpiration (PET) following
a soil–water balancing approach during a cropping season.
Certain other factors are also taken into consideration before declaration of drought.
15 drought years in India since Independence
Since independence, there have been 15 drought years,
from 1951 to 2002, in 1951, 1952, 1965, 1966, 1968, 1969, 1971, 1972,
1974, 1979, 1982, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 2002. The frequency of droughts
has varied with 2 drought years in the 1950s and four in the 1960s. The
1970s and 1980s also had four drought years each. The 1990s did not see a
single drought year. The next drought again was in 2002.
The
1987 drought was the worst drought after independence affecting 59–60%
of the crop area and a population of 285 million. In 2002 too, over 300
million people spread over 18 States were affected by drought in varying
degrees. Around 150 million cattle were affected due to lack of fodder
and water. Food grains production registered the steepest fall of 29
million tonnes. No other drought in the past had caused reduction in
food grain production to this extent.
What are the Relief Measures taken?
Various
ministries of the Government of India viz., Agriculture, Rural
Development, Drinking Water, Animal Husbandry, Food & Public
Distribution, Water Resources, Home Affairs, Finance and Railways are
involved in planning and implementing the relief measures.The state
governments submit reports on drought condition with all the relevant
information and the government of India extends support based on these
reports. The various relief measures include financial assistance to
states, contingency crop planning, relief employment, food security and
initiatives to mitigate the impacts.
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